Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.371627 0.429184 0.489652 0.557638 0.631670 0.709578 0.797498
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.283638 0.361455 0.448315 0.551347 0.669138 0.798569 0.950503
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.233105 0.325512 0.434443 0.569711 0.730621 0.913516 1.134704
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.183042 0.281591 0.404455 0.564009 0.761010 0.991893 1.278532
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.157464 0.263824 0.402938 0.590330 0.828597 1.114473 1.476398
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.128311 0.236243 0.384862 0.592740 0.864898 1.198955 1.629821
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.105102 0.212946 0.369147 0.595526 0.899931 1.281228 1.781094
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.089568 0.198410 0.363437 0.610107 0.949373 1.381537 1.955648
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.077918 0.187957 0.362032 0.629526 1.004766 1.489697 2.141182
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.067907 0.178420 0.360632 0.648036 1.058616 1.596213 2.325765
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.055330 0.161687 0.346018 0.645732 1.082863 1.663674 2.460701
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.046979 0.151315 0.340304 0.655671 1.123654 1.752990 2.624458
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.036950 0.135354 0.323909 0.648732 1.140847 1.812112 2.751518
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.027034 0.116570 0.300175 0.628317 1.137178 1.842260 2.840418
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.022536 0.109625 0.296966 0.640221 1.180777 1.937461 3.016637
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.016656 0.096675 0.280678 0.629252 1.189375 1.983858 3.127738
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.014743 0.094842 0.285981 0.654612 1.253285 2.108286 3.345333
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.011367 0.086726 0.277418 0.655429 1.279248 2.179326 3.491060
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.008693 0.079591 0.269907 0.657351 1.306541 2.252262 3.639841
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.007146 0.076071 0.269822 0.672282 1.354302 2.354888 3.830218
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.006068 0.074016 0.272757 0.692605 1.410775 2.470520 4.039369
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.005102 0.071902 0.275267 0.712092 1.466138 2.585071 4.247966
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.003596 0.065378 0.266296 0.709495 1.485584 2.647331 4.384239